Netherlands vs France Prediction, Odds, Betting Tips

  • Date and Time: Friday, June 21, 20:00 GMT+1
  • Venue: Red Bull Arena, Leipzig, Germany
Odds via 22bet
Netherlands vs France June 17, 20:00 GMT+1
Netherlands odds 3.3
France odds 2.45
Draw 3.28
Over\Under Total 2,5: 1.96/1.84

Netherlands vs France Team Overview


The winner of the match between the Netherlands and France will qualify for the round of 16 and likely finish at the top of Group D.

The Netherlands had numerous scoring opportunities in their previous match against Poland but struggled to convert them into shots on target. Despite taking 21 shots, only 4 were on target, yet they managed to score two goals.

Virgil van Dijk and Nathan Aké performed admirably in maintaining a high defensive line, frequently outpacing their opponents. This created quick transitions from defense to offense for Cody Gakpo, Memphis Depay, and Xavi Simons, who combined effectively to create scoring chances.

Nathan Aké made impactful passes from deep zones, and Denzel Dumfries was dynamic on the right flank. Wout Weghorst scored the crucial goal, proving once again his value for the Dutch national team.

Despite Van Dijk and Aké’s excellent play, the Netherlands had defensive issues. Xavi Simons neglected defensive duties in several instances, and Joey Veerman and Jerdy Schouten showed unreliable play in front of the penalty area.

The absence of a top-class defensive midfielder like Nigel De Jong has been a recurring issue for the Netherlands in crucial matches for the last few years. Ronald Koeman might need to switch from a 4-2-3-1 formation to a 3-4-3 to improve their chances in the tournament.

Recent Form WWWLW
Key Players to Watch Cody Gakpo, Memphis Depay.
Team Strengths Aggressive play in a high defensive line.
Team Weaknesses Lack of a top-class defensive midfielder.


Both France and the Netherlands missed many opportunities in the first round of the group stage. A good example was Kylian Mbappé, who had three clear chances to score but failed to convert them.

Theo Hernández had a phenomenal game on the left wing, creating numerous opportunities for his teammates. The left-back made powerful high-speed bursts, combined well with his teammates, and executed high-quality shots into the opponent’s penalty area.

Adrien Rabiot and Antoine Griezmann made great passes behind the backs of the Austrian defenders to Mbappé, who was great at finding dangerous space. Overall, the French displayed some spectacular attacking play. However, Didier Deschamps’ team allowed the game to slow down at times and avoided taking unnecessary risks.

The French also faced problems defensively, particularly when a group of attacking players did not contribute defensively.

Especially Adrien Rabiot and Theo Hernández were unreliable in the defensive phase. Similar defensive issues were observed with the French team during the last World Cup in 2022. However, they are still one of the favorites to win this edition of the European Championship.

Recent Form WDWWL
Key Players to Watch N’Golo Kanté, Bradley Barcola
Team Strengths Probably the strongest squad at the tournament.
Team Weaknesses Problems with building positional attacks, and in transitions from offense to defense.

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Netherlands vs France Head-to-Head Statistics

These teams recently met in Euro 2024 qualification with France winning both matches convincingly.

The French team defeated the Dutch 4-0 on their home soil, with Kylian Mbappé scoring twice. In Amsterdam, Deschamps’ team won again, with Mbappé scoring two more goals.

It’s important to note that the Netherlands didn’t have their core lineup in either match, as Ronald Koeman actively used squad rotation.

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Netherlands vs France Player Focus

Mbappé’s involvement is one of the main issues ahead of this match. He scored four goals against the Netherlands in qualifying for EURO2024, and he is a key attacking player for France.

If Mbappé doesn’t play, Deschamps can choose Marcus Thuram to play on the left wing and Olivier Giroud in the center of attack. However, in that case, the French attack may be too direct on the left wing.

It is quite possible that the French coach will give a chance to a young, super-talented player – Bradley Barcola. Barcola can provide excellent dribbling while moving from the flank to the center and shooting from different positions. This could potentially make Barcola one of the main attacking stars in this match.

Netherlands vs France Prediction, Tactical Analysis

If Ronald Koeman chooses to play a 4-2-3-1 formation against France, his team could be in trouble. The Netherlands lack a defensive midfielder, leaving them vulnerable in the center of the pitch. This was evident in their last encounter in Paris, where France easily created chances and scored goals.

Both teams use a 4-2-3-1 formation, which leads to numerous 1v1 duels where the French could have an advantage. Consequently, this scenario could result in a match with more than two goals.

If Koeman chooses a 3-4-3 or 5-2-3 formation with three central defenders, the number of strikers will be reduced, but the defense and control in front of the penalty area will be strengthened. This tactical adjustment could result in a match with fewer than two goals, which could be an interesting angle for EURO 2024 betting enthusiasts.

Netherlands vs France Prediction

  • Football Pick: France to win
  • Odds: 2.45 (22Bet)
  • Score prediction: Netherlands 1-2 France

The French national team appears to be a more well-rounded team with several top players, most of whom are also key figures in elite European clubs.

In contrast, the current Oranje squad has only a few mainstays in top clubs: Nathan Aké, Virgil van Dijk, and Denzel Dumfries.

Even without Kylian Mbappé, France has a powerful group of attacking players who can effectively convert their chances. Therefore, my EURO 2024 prediction for this game is that the French team will win this match.

Netherlands vs France Prediction, Betting Tip

  • Football Pick: 2X And TO 1.5
  • Odds: 1.79 (22Bet)

For those fans who are unsure about France’s victory in this match, I believe it’s a good choice to predict that the French team will not lose and that there will be more than one goal.

Both teams have strong attacking potential but are not perfect in defense. This suggests that more than one goal will likely be scored in the match.

However, due to the superior quality of their squad, my final UEFA EURO 2024 prediction is that France will not lose this match.

Disclaimer: The content provided on this page, including all UEFA EURO 2024 predictions, and related information, is for entertainment and informational purposes only. While we strive to ensure accuracy and timeliness, we do not guarantee the correctness or reliability of any predictions, data, or information presented here.

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