2022 Boca Raton Bowl prediction, odds, lines: Liberty vs. Toledo picks, best bets from proven computer model

The Toledo Rockets (8-5) and the Liberty Flames (8-4) link up on Tuesday night in the 2022 Boca Raton Bowl. Toledo will be playing its 20th bowl game in school history. The Rockets look to snap their four-game skid in such games. In 2021, they fell 31-24 to Middle Tennessee in the Bahamas Bowl. Meanwhile, Liberty owns a 3-0 record in bowl games. Last year, the Flames beat Eastern Michigan 56-20 in the LendingTree Bowl. Former Liberty head coach Hugh Freeze accepted the same position at Auburn in November, leaving Josh Aldridge as the interim.

Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Rockets as 3.5-point favorites in the latest Liberty vs. Toledo odds. The over/under for total points is set at 52.5, down a point from the opening line. Before locking in any Toledo vs. Liberty picks, you need to see the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has locked in on Liberty vs. Toledo and revealed its and Boca Raton Bowl 2022 predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several college football odds and betting lines for Toledo vs. Liberty:

  • Liberty vs. Toledo spread: Toledo -3.5
  • Liberty vs. Toledo over/under: 52.5 points
  • Liberty vs. Toledo money line: Toledo -170, Liberty +143
  • Liberty: 5-6 ATS this season 
  • Toledo: 5-7 ATS this season 
  • Liberty vs. Toledo picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | Toledo Rockets vs. Liberty Flames

Why Liberty can cover

Liberty has a stout run defense. The Flames give up just 144.1 rushing yards per game and allow opponents to average 3.8 yards per carry. Junior linebacker Mike Smith Jr. is able to dissect the play in a hurry and fill gaps. Smith Jr. leads the team in total tackles (69) with four pass deflections and two forced fumbles. He’s finished with at least six stops in six different outings.

The Flames have a few players who can generate pressure up front. They have six players with at least four sacks on the year. Senior defensive lineman Durrell Johnson leads the pack with eight sacks. Johnson runs with an excellent motor and has a fantastic spin move. The Maryland native has the speed and flexibility to beat his man around the edge. On Nov. 19, he secured four tackles and a sack. 

Why Toledo can cover

There are multiple playmakers on the field for the Rockets. Sophomore running back Jacquez Stuart has been the lead back for the Rockets’ ground game. Toledo finished the season third in the MAC in rushing yards per game (178). Stuart has tremendous vision and breakaway speed. The Florida native led the team with 659 yards, four touchdowns and 5.9 yards per carry. In his last game, he logged 93 rush yards and one score.

Junior receiver Jerjuan Newton has built a great rapport with quarterback Dequan Finn. Despite only being 5-foot-11, Newton can consistently make contested catches. The Florida native is able to create separation with secure hands. Newton leads the team in receptions (48), receiving yards (788) and touchdowns (9). He’s supplied 50-plus yards in eight games thus far. In the MAC Championship, he secured six passes for 77 yards. 

How to make Toledo vs. Liberty picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 63 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Liberty vs. Toledo? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.  

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