Our tipster Jones Knows has got you covered for the upcoming football feast as he offers his insight across an exciting Premier League fixture list.
Any winners last week for Jones Knows?
- Luton to beat Newcastle 1-0 (14/1)
- Luton double chance vs Newcastle (5/4)
- Under 2.5 goals in West Ham vs Man Utd (5/4)
- Tottenham to beat Everton (4/5)
- Cameron Archer 1+ offsides (5/4)
- Correct score: Crystal Palace 1-1 Brighton
Brighton vs Tottenham, Thursday 7.30pm
Ange Postecoglou vs Roberto De Zerbi – my word. Risk-reward football meets risk-reward football. It’s going to go off. Those that like to back goals and shots are going to be in clover.
Over a 51 Premier League game sample size, De Zerbi’s Brighton have seen an average of 3.48 goals scored per game while Postecoglou has overseen an average of 3.39 goals scored per game since taking charge. Having watched Spurs in action against Everton, it only further convinced my thought process that this game could be heading down the game of the season avenue. Spurs were so open, allowing counter attacks out wide to rip them open at will. Brighton will exploit that but will also be exploited by the Spurs press.
I would be stunned if the goals return at the Amex on Thursday does not threaten that average with the over 3.5 goals line priced up surprisingly generously at 11/10 with Sky Bet.
SCORE PREDICTION: 4-4
Arsenal vs West Ham, Thursday 7.30pm
Arsenal are unbeaten in 12 home games this season, winning 10 and meet a West Ham side that cannot be relied upon to bring the best version of themselves. It’s 30/100 with Sky Bet for the home win though so there’s little interest in getting involved in the outright market.
Instead, I’m heading to the player fouls market where Oleksandr Zinchenko is worth backing to make one or more fouls at 5/4 with Sky Bet and two or more fouls at 13/2 considering he’s going to be tasked with marking the in-form Mohamed Kudus, who is a foul-drawing master.
Since he nailed down a spot in the West Ham side at the end of October, no player has completed more dribbles in the Premier League (33). That is leading to defenders having plenty of nibbles at the glorious Ghanaian with only Jordan Ayew (29) and Bruno Guimaraes (29) winning more fouls across that period than Kudus (25). That’s an average of 2.9 fouls per 90. Zinchenko, who struggled in one-on-one moments with Mohamed Salah last weekend, making one foul, will have his hands full.