Patriots vs. Bears odds, line, spread: Monday Night Football picks, prediction from NFL model on 146-107 run


Quarterback controversy or not, the New England Patriots just want to win a third straight game when they host the Chicago Bears on Monday Night Football. The Patriots (3-3) enter the NFL Week 7 matchup at Gillette Stadium off a pair of convincing victories, and rookie Bailey Zappe was the quarterback for both of them. Now, with Mac Jones ready to play after an ankle injury, coach Bill Belichick could have a decision to make. Belichick’s acumen is a major reason why he is poised to take over second place on the all-time list for victories by a head coach if New England gets the win on Monday Night Football. He is tied with George Halas on 324. Meanwhile, the Bears (2-4) have lost three in a row, including a 12-7 setback to Washington on Oct. 13.

Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET at Gillette Stadium. Caesars Sportsbook lists New England as an 8.5-point favorite in its latest Patriots vs. Bears odds, and the over/under for total points scored is 40. Before locking in any Bears vs. Patriots picks, be sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model entered Week 7 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 146-107 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Patriots vs. Bears and just locked in its picks and MNF predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are the NFL odds and betting lines for Bears vs. Patriots:

  • Patriots vs. Bears spread: New England -8.5
  • Patriots vs. Bears over/under: 40 points
  • Patriots vs. Bears money line: Chicago +300, New England -385
  • Bears: Bears are 5-7-1 ATS after a loss since the start of last season
  • Patriots: Patriots are 3-1 ATS in their last four with a rest disadvantage
  • Patriots vs. Bears picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game | New England Patriots vs. Chicago Bears

Why the Patriots can cover

New England should be more than capable of stopping a Bears offense that averages 294 yards (28th in NFL) and 15.5 points (31st). The Patriots are allowing fewer than 19 points per game (17th) and have 12 takeaways (T-3). They can load up against the run because if Fields drops back, odds are high for a sack or incompletion. Fields is completing 55 percent of his passes, worst in the NFL, and has been sacked 23 times on 138 drop-backs (16.7 percent). The Patriots have a corps of safeties who can make plays, led by Kyle Dugger, Devin McCourty and Adrian Phillips.

New England has given it away 11 times, but eight of those came in the first three games. The offense is balanced, with Rhamondre Stevenson (448 yards) and Damien Harris (257) carrying the load on the ground and receivers like Jakobi Meyers and Devante Parker making big plays. Meyers leads the team with 24 catches, while Parker averages 21.1 yards on his 12 receptions. The Patriots average 131 rushing yards (10th in NFL) and 23.5 points (12th). New England is 5-2 against the spread in their past seven non-conference games, including 2-0 this season. See which team to pick here.

Why the Bears can cover 

Chicago is 5-4-1 against the spread in non-conference games since the start of the 2020 season. Underdogs have fared well in the NFL this season too. In fact, they are 54-37-2 ATS this season, and underdogs of four points or more are 31-16 ATS.

Chicago ranks second in rushing at almost 171 yards per game. Fields has rushed for 282 this season and averages 5.2 per carry, but David Montgomery and Khalil Herbert do the heavy lifting. Montgomery has 246 yards despite missing almost two games, while Herbert has 402 yards and averages 6.4 per carry. New England gives up 4.7 yards per attempt (22nd). The Patriots also cough the ball up, tied for 29th in the league with 11 turnovers. Chicago still has playmakers on defense, including Roquan Smith (two sacks) and Eddie Jackson (three interceptions). See which team to pick here.

How to make Patriots vs. Bears picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the point total. In fact, it’s calling for 46 combined points. It also says one of the spread hits well over 50% of the time. You can only get the model’s MNF picks at SportsLine. 

So who wins Bears vs. Patriots on Monday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Bears vs. Patriots spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up nearly $7,000 on its NFL picks, and find out.





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