Georgia vs. Florida prediction, odds, line: 2022 Week 9 SEC on CBS picks, best bets from proven simulation

Kirby Smart and the No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs aim to stay unbeaten on Saturday. Georgia faces the Florida Gators in a neutral-site battle at TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville. The long-time rivals meet in the eighth game of the season on both sides. Georgia is 7-0 overall and 4-0 in SEC play, with Florida sitting at 4-3 overall and 1-3 against SEC opponents this season. Florida also aims to avenge a 34-7 loss to Georgia a season ago, with the Bulldogs winning four of the last five head-to-head matchups.

Caesars Sportsbook lists Georgia as a 23.5-point favorite for this 3:30 p.m. ET SEC on CBS kickoff. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 56.5 in the latest Georgia vs. Florida odds. Saturday’s game can be seen live on CBS and streamed live on Paramount+ with their must-have Premium plan. 

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And before making any Florida vs. Georgia picks, you need to see the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Florida vs. Georgia and just locked in its picks and CFB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Now, here are several college football odds and betting lines for Georgia vs. Florida:

  • Florida vs. Georgia spread: Georgia -23.5
  • Florida vs. Georgia over/under: 56.5 points 
  • Florida vs. Georgia money line: Georgia -2400, Florida +1150 
  • FLA: The Gators are 3-4 against the spread this season 
  • UGA: The Bulldogs are 4-3 against the spread this season 
  • Florida vs. Georgia picks: See picks at SportsLine 
  • Florida vs. Georgia streaming: Paramount+

Featured Game | Georgia Bulldogs vs. Florida Gators

Why Florida can cover

Florida has a few potential advantage points in Saturday’s matchup in Jacksonville. The Gators are the best punting team in the SEC this season, leading the conference with 46.1 yards per punt and a net average of 43.9 yards per punt in 2022. That helps Florida to maintain stability in field position, and the Gators have given up only eight passing touchdowns this season. On the offensive side, Florida’s running game, led by quarterback Anthony Richardson, sets the tone. 

The Gators are leading the entire country with 6.38 yards per carry this season, headlined by three players producing at least 330 rushing yards in 2022. Each of those three rushers is averaging at least 6.3 yards per carry, and Florida is averaging 213.1 rushing yards per game. The Gators are also producing 430.1 total yards and 31.4 points per game, and Florida has given up only five sacks this season. Florida is strong on third down, moving the chains on 42.5% of chances, and the Gators are averaging 8.3 yards per pass attempt in 2022.

Why Georgia can cover

Georgia is unquestionably elite on both sides of the ball, leading to a No. 1 ranking and an unbeaten record. On defense, the Bulldogs rank in the top four of the country in points allowed (9.1 per game) and yards allowed (247 per game), with Georgia also giving up only 4.4 yards per play. Georgia is also No. 1 in the SEC in passing defense (163.7 yards per game) and rushing defense (83.4 yards per game), with opponents producing only one rushing touchdown all season. Georgia is also holding the opposition to a 54.5% completion rate and 5.4 yards per pass attempt, with Florida struggling through the air on offense. 

On the other side, Georgia’s offense is excellent, averaging 526.6 total yards per game and 7.26 yards per play, both of which rank in the top five nationally. The Bulldogs lead the SEC with a 52.4% third down rate, and Florida’s defense is second-worst in the country in third down rate allowed at 52.6%. Georgia has the best interception rate (0.38%) in the country and, led by Stetson Bennett, the Bulldogs have 11 passing touchdowns and only one interception. Georgia has allowed only seven sacks in seven games, and the Bulldogs are averaging 5.6 yards per carry with 24 rushing touchdowns.

How to make Florida vs. Georgia picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the point total, with both teams projected to average more than 5.0 yards per carry from their running backs. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Florida vs. Georgia? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Florida vs. Georgia spread you need to jump on Saturday, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out, and don’t forget to stream the game on Paramount+.

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